Will the situation on the peninsula heat up again？ US： North Korea may test missiles again.

　　　　　　 CCTV News:In response to the resumption of dialogue between the DPRK and the ROK, the US Permanent Representative to the United Nations Heili No.2 responded strongly that as long as North Korea does not stop its nuclear test, the United States will not recognize the dialogue between North Korea and any country.

　　　　　　 On the same day, Heili also warned that North Korea may test missiles again. Heili said that the report shows that North Korea may be preparing for the next missile test. If this does happen, then the United States must implement more severe measures against North Korea.

　　　　　　 US President Trump 2 also said on social media that "sanctions and" other "pressure measures are beginning to have a major impact on North Korea. North Korea now wants to talk with South Korea for the first time. Maybe it is good news, maybe it is not, and the United States needs to wait and see.

　　　　　　 With the resumption of the Panmunjom hotline, the DPRK changed its previous tough attitude on the peninsula issue, and the DPRK-ROK relations showed a warming trend. However, in its attitude towards the United States, North Korea has not changed at all and remains very tough. Kim Jong-un, the top leader of North Korea, also issued a severe warning to the United States in his New Year message.

　　　　　　 Kim Jong-un said: "The whole United States is within the attack range of our nuclear weapons, and the nuclear weapons button is always on my desk. This is true, not intimidation."

　　　　　　 According to Yonhap News Agency’s analysis, the US is carefully analyzing the intentions contained in the two-sided speech of "dialogue" and "nuclear button" in Kim Jong-un’s speech and observing its changes. In the view of the United States, Kim Jong-un talked about the possibility of dialogue with South Korea in order to alienate South Korea and the United States. He should first observe the trend of dialogue between South Korea and North Korea and calmly respond.

　　　　　　 [Expert analysis] The DPRK and the ROK started substantive contacts.

　　　　　　 We have seen that after the exchange of goodwill, the DPRK and the ROK have started substantive contacts. At present, the two sides have reopened the Panmunjom contact hotline and made a phone call this morning. However, there are great differences between the two sides on the purpose of contact. The DPRK seems to be on the matter and is limited to sending a delegation to participate in the PyeongChang Winter Olympics, but the ROK hopes to start comprehensive talks. How to treat this difference between the DPRK and the ROK? In addition, the United States does not seem to be optimistic about the contacts between the DPRK and the ROK. Why? How will it affect the situation on the Korean peninsula?

Panmunjom (data map)

　　　　　　 He Wenping, a special commentator of CCTV, analyzed that the strategy and goal of the peace talks between the DPRK and the ROK are inconsistent. On the one hand, North Korea extended an olive branch to show its goodwill and intention to ease relations to the international community, on the other hand, North Korea hoped to ease the increasingly severe sanctions through these measures. At the same time, we can see that North Korea has adopted a strategy of taking small steps, and does not want to make big strides in one step. For South Korea, what South Korea is most concerned about is the issue of "harmony", that is, solving the nuclear issue on the peninsula.

　　　　　　 He Wenping said that what is different from South Korea’s particularly positive attitude is the attitude of the United States, which is still very tough. The main reason is that the United States is dissatisfied with North Korea’s sudden initiative in grasping the situation on the peninsula, while the South Korean side is very active. Therefore, the tension on the Korean peninsula is only temporarily eased. After the PyeongChang Winter Olympics, if the United States continues to conduct joint military exercises with South Korea and North Korea continues to conduct nuclear tests, the situation on the peninsula is likely to heat up again after the Winter Olympics.